Benjamin Y. Fong | Has the Autonomous Trucking Revolution Arrived?

The state of autonomous trucking With Waymo operating in ten US metropolitan areas, why have we seen much slower progress in autonomous trucking than in light-duty vehicles?

The autonomous tech company IMAMS Technology described the rule about warning triangles as the “one thing standing in [autonomous trucks’] way from being truly driverless.”

I’d say it’s 18 to 24 months until you start to see this incredible increase in the adoption of autonomous trucking.

Goldman too sees 2028 as the year when AV trucking will be competitive with traditional trucking: while the cost-per-mile for AV trucking is projected to drop from $8.56 in 2025 to $2.03 in 2030, the cost-per-mile for traditional trucking will jump from $2.55 to $2.84 in that same period.

When autonomous trucking companies talk about safety, it is these things they have in mind.