Frozen piles of coal outside Green Bay, Wisconsin powerplant are being relocated to aid waterfront development. By EVWorld.com Si Editorial Team The coal lobby is working overtime to convince the public that coal is the last trustworthy grown-up in the room. Their latest Utility Dive op-ed leans on a single planning metric, ELCC, as if it were a divine seal of reliability. It is not. And the way they use it is so misleading it borders on performance art. Here is the part they hope you will not look up: ELCC, or Effective Load Carrying Capability, is not a reliability score. It does not measure whether a coal plant will freeze, fail, or choke during a winter storm. It does not measure forced-outage rates. It does not measure fuel-supply risk. It does not measure cold-weather performance. ELCC answers one narrow planning question: "How much does this resource reduce blackout risk during the grid's highest-stress hours?" That is it. It is a capacity accreditation tool, a modeling input, not a verdict on dependability. Treating ELCC as proof that coal is "more reliable" is like treating your car's insurance premium as proof it will start on a January morning. And when you look at what actually happens during real stress events, the coal lobby's narrative collapses. PJM's own post-mortem shows that coal and gas units caused the overwhelming majority of unexpected outages. Not wind. Not solar. Not batteries. Coal's "high ELCC" did not keep its units from tripping offline when the grid needed them most. The op-ed leans on a fossil-funded model while ignoring independent data from EIA, NREL, and Lazard that all point the same direction: in most regions, it is cheaper to replace coal with new wind or solar than to keep burning fuel in an aging boiler. That is
How Dependable Is Coal Really? Not Nearly as Much as the Coal Lobby Wants You to Believe
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